Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.116506 0.129945 0.143694 0.158772 0.174806 0.191308 0.209540
2024-10-13 0.100004 0.118406 0.137900 0.159962 0.184114 0.209635 0.238523
2024-10-20 0.086945 0.108720 0.132517 0.160190 0.191229 0.224731 0.263389
2024-10-27 0.075445 0.099541 0.126681 0.159049 0.196159 0.236974 0.284854
2024-11-03 0.067246 0.093347 0.123575 0.160456 0.203564 0.251741 0.309050
2024-11-10 0.061629 0.089670 0.122979 0.164446 0.213727 0.269559 0.336747
2024-11-17 0.054740 0.083816 0.119303 0.164412 0.218933 0.281544 0.357752
2024-11-24 0.049992 0.080243 0.118083 0.167077 0.227166 0.296972 0.382753
2024-12-01 0.045189 0.076175 0.115919 0.168332 0.233535 0.310128 0.405105
2024-12-08 0.040396 0.071700 0.112907 0.168264 0.238107 0.321041 0.424783
2024-12-15 0.036563 0.068219 0.110931 0.169301 0.243896 0.333334 0.446082
2024-12-22 0.032487 0.064024 0.107719 0.168515 0.247242 0.342570 0.463681
2024-12-29 0.029925 0.061988 0.107477 0.171770 0.255972 0.358783 0.490257
2025-01-05 0.026899 0.058955 0.105646 0.172770 0.261747 0.371347 0.512460
2025-01-12 0.023903 0.055668 0.103235 0.172822 0.266195 0.382219 0.532613
2025-01-19 0.020846 0.051948 0.099950 0.171486 0.268698 0.390585 0.549666
2025-01-26 0.018792 0.049715 0.098705 0.172857 0.274688 0.403310 0.572117
2025-02-02 0.017574 0.048842 0.099434 0.176958 0.284295 0.420645 0.600360
2025-02-09 0.015533 0.046215 0.097298 0.176863 0.288209 0.430697 0.619534
2025-02-16 0.014275 0.044938 0.097181 0.179608 0.295925 0.445623 0.644852
2025-02-23 0.012844 0.043139 0.096114 0.180887 0.301601 0.457911 0.666878
2025-03-02 0.011303 0.040900 0.094186 0.180791 0.305324 0.467636 0.685668
2025-03-09 0.010106 0.039233 0.093092 0.181857 0.310602 0.479368 0.707017